Tonight
Aug 15 - Aug 16
- 14 °C
86 percent cloud cover - 13 °C
3 percent cloud cover - 11 °C6 percent cloud cover
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Northern Lights Forecast for Churchill
Churchill, Manitoba, Canada
58°46′6.2″N ⋅ 94°9′54.0″W
Aurora data last updated at
Current local time:
Aurora activity is expected to be moderate between 11 PM and 4 AM in Churchill tonight. Sky will be dark from 10:59 PM to 3:43 AM local time. Cloud cover around that time looks partly cloudy at 5% to 45%. You should have a decent chance of seeing the aurora if skies stay this clear.
Aurora Forecast for Churchill
Today at 1:00 PM
Low Activity
Cloud Cover:2%
Aurora activity
High clouds
Middle clouds
Low clouds
Fog
Aurora activity
High clouds
Middle clouds
Low clouds
Fog
Hourly aurora forecast for Churchill
| Local time | Aurora activity |
|---|---|
| Low Activity | |
| Low Activity | |
| Low Activity | |
| Low Activity | |
| Moderate Activity | |
| Moderate Activity | |
| Low Activity | |
| Low Activity | |
| Low Activity | |
| Low Activity | |
| Low Activity | |
| Moderate Activity | |
| Moderate Activity | |
| Moderate Activity | |
| Low Activity | |
| Low Activity |
3-Night Weather Forecast for Churchill
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Tomorrow night
Aug 16 - Aug 17
- 14 °C
99 percent cloud cover - 13 °C95 percent cloud cover
- 12 °C
27 percent cloud cover
Monday night
Aug 17 - Aug 18
- 11 °C
100 percent cloud cover - 10 °C100 percent cloud cover
- 10 °C100 percent cloud cover
Sun & Moon
Sunset
Sunrise
Dark from 10:59 PM to 03:43 AM (4 h 44 min)
Current Moon
Waxing Crescent
10% illumination
Refresh to load today's sun path.
Long-Term Aurora Forecast for Churchill
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Saturday, August 15, 2026. Today. Moderate aurora activity. Aurora score 6 out of 10. Waxing crescent, 10% illumination | Sunday, August 16, 2026. Moderate aurora activity. Aurora score 5 out of 10. Waxing crescent, 17% illumination | |||||
Monday, August 17, 2026. Moderate aurora activity. Aurora score 6 out of 10. Waxing crescent, 25% illumination | Tuesday, August 18, 2026. Moderate aurora activity. Aurora score 5 out of 10. First quarter, 35% illumination | Wednesday, August 19, 2026. Low aurora activity. Aurora score 3 out of 10. First quarter, 44% illumination | Thursday, August 20, 2026. Low aurora activity. Aurora score 3 out of 10. First quarter, 54% illumination | Friday, August 21, 2026. Moderate aurora activity. Aurora score 5 out of 10. First quarter, 63% illumination | Saturday, August 22, 2026. Low aurora activity. Aurora score 3 out of 10. Waxing gibbous, 72% illumination | Sunday, August 23, 2026. Low aurora activity. Aurora score 3 out of 10. Waxing gibbous, 80% illumination |
Monday, August 24, 2026. Low aurora activity. Aurora score 3 out of 10. Waxing gibbous, 87% illumination | Tuesday, August 25, 2026. Low aurora activity. Aurora score 3 out of 10. Waxing gibbous, 93% illumination | Wednesday, August 26, 2026. Low aurora activity. Aurora score 3 out of 10. Full moon, 97% illumination | Thursday, August 27, 2026. Low aurora activity. Aurora score 3 out of 10. Full moon, 100% illumination | Friday, August 28, 2026. Low aurora activity. Aurora score 3 out of 10. Full moon, 100% illumination | Saturday, August 29, 2026. Low aurora activity. Aurora score 3 out of 10. Full moon, 98% illumination | Sunday, August 30, 2026. Low aurora activity. Aurora score 3 out of 10. Waning gibbous, 94% illumination |
Monday, August 31, 2026. Low aurora activity. Aurora score 3 out of 10. Waning gibbous, 88% illumination | Tuesday, September 1, 2026. Low aurora activity. Aurora score 3 out of 10. Waning gibbous, 80% illumination | Wednesday, September 2, 2026. Low aurora activity. Aurora score 3 out of 10. Waning gibbous, 70% illumination | Thursday, September 3, 2026. Low aurora activity. Aurora score 3 out of 10. Last quarter, 60% illumination | Friday, September 4, 2026. Moderate aurora activity. Aurora score 4 out of 10. Last quarter, 48% illumination | Saturday, September 5, 2026. Moderate aurora activity. Aurora score 4 out of 10. Last quarter, 37% illumination | Sunday, September 6, 2026. Low aurora activity. Aurora score 3 out of 10. Waning crescent, 26% illumination |
Monday, September 7, 2026. Moderate aurora activity. Aurora score 4 out of 10. Waning crescent, 17% illumination | Tuesday, September 8, 2026. Moderate aurora activity. Aurora score 4 out of 10. Waning crescent, 9% illumination | Wednesday, September 9, 2026. Low aurora activity. Aurora score 3 out of 10. New moon, 3% illumination | Thursday, September 10, 2026. Low aurora activity. Aurora score 3 out of 10. New moon, 1% illumination | Friday, September 11, 2026. Low aurora activity. Aurora score 3 out of 10. New moon, 0% illumination |
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Churchill Aurora Guide
Churchill is situated in Canada's Manitoba area. Because it sits at 58.8°, seeing the aurora borealis here requires a fairly strong geomagnetic storm. Keep a close eye on space weather forecasts and be ready to travel to darker skies if a severe storm hits.
When to see the northern lights in Churchill
While auroras are driven by solar storms rather than seasons, you still need dark skies. In Churchill, your best chances are during the darker months from October through February.
FAQ
What Kp index do I need to see the northern lights in Churchill?
In Churchill, even quiet geomagnetic conditions can be enough for aurora overhead.
This is based on magnetic latitude, and Kp index is a global geomagnetic index, so treat it as a rule of thumb, not a location-specific guarantee.
Tonight, the NOAA Kp index forecast is 2 to 2.7. You should have a good chance of seeing the aurora if the sky is clear.