- 6 °C100 percent cloud cover
- 6 °C100 percent cloud cover
- 5 °C100 percent cloud cover
Northern Lights Forecast for Churchill
Churchill, Manitoba, Canada
58°46′6.2″N ⋅ 94°9′54.0″W
Aurora data last updated at
Current local time:
Aurora activity is expected to be moderate between 6 PM and 4 AM in Churchill tonight. Cloud cover around that time looks overcast at around 100%. There may be good aurora activity overhead, but thick cloud could block the view.
Aurora Forecast for Churchill
Hourly aurora forecast for Churchill
| Local time | Aurora activity |
|---|---|
| Low Activity | |
| Low Activity | |
| Low Activity | |
| Moderate Activity | |
| Moderate Activity | |
| Moderate Activity | |
| Moderate Activity | |
| Low Activity | |
| Low Activity | |
| Low Activity | |
| Low Activity | |
| Low Activity | |
| Moderate Activity | |
| High Activity | |
| Moderate Activity | |
| Low Activity |
3-Night Weather Forecast for Churchill
- 3 °C100 percent cloud cover
- 2 °C100 percent cloud cover
- 1 °C92 percent cloud cover
- 5 °C100 percent cloud cover
- 5 °C100 percent cloud cover
- 4 °C100 percent cloud cover
Sun & Moon
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Long-Term Aurora Forecast for Churchill
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Saturday, June 13, 2026. Today. High aurora activity. Aurora score 8 out of 10. Waning crescent, 4% illumination | Sunday, June 14, 2026. High aurora activity. Aurora score 7 out of 10. New moon, 1% illumination | |||||
Monday, June 15, 2026. Moderate aurora activity. Aurora score 5 out of 10. New moon, 0% illumination | Tuesday, June 16, 2026. Low aurora activity. Aurora score 3 out of 10. New moon, 3% illumination | Wednesday, June 17, 2026. Moderate aurora activity. Aurora score 4 out of 10. Waxing crescent, 8% illumination | Thursday, June 18, 2026. Low aurora activity. Aurora score 3 out of 10. Waxing crescent, 16% illumination | Friday, June 19, 2026. Low aurora activity. Aurora score 3 out of 10. Waxing crescent, 25% illumination | Saturday, June 20, 2026. Low aurora activity. Aurora score 3 out of 10. First quarter, 35% illumination | Sunday, June 21, 2026. Moderate aurora activity. Aurora score 4 out of 10. First quarter, 46% illumination |
Monday, June 22, 2026. Moderate aurora activity. Aurora score 4 out of 10. First quarter, 56% illumination | Tuesday, June 23, 2026. Moderate aurora activity. Aurora score 5 out of 10. First quarter, 66% illumination | Wednesday, June 24, 2026. Moderate aurora activity. Aurora score 6 out of 10. Waxing gibbous, 75% illumination | Thursday, June 25, 2026. Moderate aurora activity. Aurora score 6 out of 10. Waxing gibbous, 83% illumination | Friday, June 26, 2026. Moderate aurora activity. Aurora score 6 out of 10. Waxing gibbous, 89% illumination | Saturday, June 27, 2026. Moderate aurora activity. Aurora score 5 out of 10. Waxing gibbous, 94% illumination | Sunday, June 28, 2026. Moderate aurora activity. Aurora score 4 out of 10. Full moon, 98% illumination |
Monday, June 29, 2026. Low aurora activity. Aurora score 3 out of 10. Full moon, 100% illumination | Tuesday, June 30, 2026. Moderate aurora activity. Aurora score 4 out of 10. Full moon, 100% illumination | Wednesday, July 1, 2026. Low aurora activity. Aurora score 3 out of 10. Full moon, 98% illumination | Thursday, July 2, 2026. Low aurora activity. Aurora score 3 out of 10. Waning gibbous, 94% illumination | Friday, July 3, 2026. Moderate aurora activity. Aurora score 5 out of 10. Waning gibbous, 89% illumination | Saturday, July 4, 2026. Moderate aurora activity. Aurora score 4 out of 10. Waning gibbous, 82% illumination | Sunday, July 5, 2026. Moderate aurora activity. Aurora score 4 out of 10. Waning gibbous, 74% illumination |
Monday, July 6, 2026. Low aurora activity. Aurora score 3 out of 10. Last quarter, 64% illumination | Tuesday, July 7, 2026. Low aurora activity. Aurora score 3 out of 10. Last quarter, 54% illumination | Wednesday, July 8, 2026. Moderate aurora activity. Aurora score 5 out of 10. Last quarter, 43% illumination | Thursday, July 9, 2026. Moderate aurora activity. Aurora score 4 out of 10. Last quarter, 32% illumination | Friday, July 10, 2026. Low aurora activity. Aurora score 3 out of 10. Waning crescent, 21% illumination |
Churchill Aurora Guide
Churchill is situated in Canada's Manitoba area. Because it sits at 58.8°, seeing the aurora borealis here requires a fairly strong geomagnetic storm. Keep a close eye on space weather forecasts and be ready to travel to darker skies if a severe storm hits.
When to see the northern lights in Churchill
While auroras are driven by solar storms rather than seasons, you still need dark skies. In Churchill, your best chances are during the darker months from October through February.
FAQ
What Kp index do I need to see the northern lights in Churchill?
In Churchill, even quiet geomagnetic conditions can be enough for aurora overhead.
This is based on magnetic latitude, and Kp index is a global geomagnetic index, so treat it as a rule of thumb, not a location-specific guarantee.
Tonight, the NOAA Kp index forecast is 2.4 to 5.1. That is well above the usual Kp index threshold for Churchill, so you should have a strong chance of seeing the aurora if the sky is clear.